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2024-12-14 03:14:44

During this period, the first two major players were not smooth. Even if they were promoted personally, the effect was not obvious. Finally, they let go of the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, first boosted their own stocks, and then activated the market through the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, and guided the funds to the big index stocks. Overall, the effect was not obvious.The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.After October 8, the artificial intelligence sector saw a huge increase. The sector began to rise on October 14, and by Tuesday, the total increase reached 37%. This did not count the increase before October 8. If you add it up, the increase will exceed 50%. At this time, you will absorb on dips. Where is this low? At this stage, the increase of the securities sector also reached 16%.


In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.Tuesday's rally is a reaction to the big bull market. When we look back and carefully observe the trend of the 924 market, it is always inseparable from the bull market, especially the protection of the market by favorable policies. Generally, it is not necessary to do this in a normal bull market. With the continuous influx of funds, we can complete the rise and all the necessary distances in the rising process.


Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.

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